TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Cairns Taipans vs. Melbourne United
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Cairns Taipans vs. Melbourne United?

Volume:
$169,433

Melbourne United

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 6:26 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Melbourne United

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$46,052
N/A
N/A
$37,569
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Melbourne United (-5.5)

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 192.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cairns Taipans

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$84,568
N/A
N/A
$65,386
Settled
No
polymarket

Cairns Taipans vs. Melbourne United

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 34m
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between the Cairns Taipans and Melbourne United. The market resolves to the winning team, or splits 50/50 if the game is canceled without a reschedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The two platforms disagree on the game date, with Kalshi referencing a game in 2026 and Polymarket referencing a game in the current season.Hero tip: Focus trading activity on Polymarket, as it appears to be referencing the current NBL season. Avoid Kalshi due to the significant date discrepancy.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team of the game scheduled for October 31 at 4:30AM ET. "If the Cairns Taipans win, the market will resolve to 'Cairns Taipans'. If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to 'Melbourne United'."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Cairns Taipans or Melbourne United wins the game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:30 AM EDT. "If Cairns Taipans wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Melbourne United wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 31 at 4:30AM ET: If the Cairns Taipans win, the market will resolve to "Cairns Taipans". If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Australia NBL basketball game between Melbourne United and Cairns Taipans, scheduled for October 31, 2026, at 4:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market stays open and resolves according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Cairns Taipans versus Melbourne United contest. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly even chance for either team to win, with a combined volume of $169,433. This allows for a comprehensive view of the NBL championship race, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd as traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the most likely result. Tracking these markets provides insight into evolving expectations as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of traders incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s price can be seen as a more forward-looking assessment, incorporating a wider range of data and perspectives than a sportsbook’s initial offering. The volume of $169,385 traded in the last 24 hours demonstrates active engagement with this question.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Cairns Taipans or Melbourne United would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team form, such as a winning or losing streak, could also influence trader sentiment. Major announcements related to coaching changes or team strategy could also move the market. Furthermore, any unexpected developments affecting the overall NBL season, such as rule changes or playoff format adjustments, could have an impact on how traders assess the likelihood of different outcomes.