TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming Serie A soccer match between Cagliari and Juventus. It focuses on the margin of victory for either team, with different thresholds defining a successful outcome. The event resolves based on the final score after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event covers four distinct outcome scenarios for the Cagliari vs Juventus Serie A match scheduled for October 11, 2026. All resolutions are determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty outcomes excluded. If Cagliari wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Cagliari wins by a margin greater than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. For Juventus, winning by more than 1.5 goals triggers a Yes resolution for the third market, while a victory margin exceeding 2.5 goals resolves the fourth market to Yes. Each market operates independently, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and trading activity. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the outcome of the Cagliari vs Juventus match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Cagliari vs Juventus match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most likely result, incorporating various factors like team form, injuries, and historical data.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Cagliari vs Juventus match, as determined by official match statistics, will be used to determine winning and losing contracts. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cagliari or Juventus would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match, such as a change in venue or referee, could also lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities and manage their risk.