TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Cagliari will win its professional Serie A soccer game against Juventus. Currently, Kalshi gives Cagliari a 44.0% chance of winning, while a tie is priced at 36.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the match as reported by official sources, specifically if Cagliari wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding extra time or penalties. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match itself on October 11, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Cagliari vs Juventus professional Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Cagliari wins, the 'Cagliari' market resolves to Yes. If Juventus wins, the 'Juventus' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are strictly based on the result within regular time, with no consideration for post-match events such as extra time, penalty shootouts, or subsequent rescheduling.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals predicting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular result. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cagliari vs Juventus match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more its price will move, influenced by supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cagliari vs Juventus match, as determined by the governing football league. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this official data. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Cagliari or Juventus would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Major news stories related to the clubs or key players, or even significant betting patterns observed elsewhere, could all contribute to movement in this market.