TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Cagliari wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Kalshi
Cagliari wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:19h:20m
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For the Cagliari versus Frosinone encounter, spread betting will reveal whether either team secures a convincing victory. This perspective moves beyond simple win/loss to examine the extent of dominance. The results offer clues about team strength and tactical execution on the field.
Markets resolve to Yes if Cagliari wins by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, or if Frosinone wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. Resolution is based exclusively on the goal difference after the completion of 90 minutes of regular play and any stoppage time awarded by the referee, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout scores. The event is the professional Serie A soccer match between Cagliari and Frosinone originally scheduled for November 7, 2026.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information and potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. It’s common to see this market reflect information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines, or to diverge based on differing opinions about team form and potential upsets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price represents the collective wisdom of the crowd, and changes as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts regarding the Cagliari vs Frosinone match.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Cagliari vs Frosinone match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by sports data providers at the conclusion of the game. The market will settle to 100 if the spread is covered, or 0 if it is not. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or cover their losses once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cagliari or Frosinone would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.