TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:56 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Cagliari and Bologna will determine if more than zero goals are scored in the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Bets will resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams combined.
Markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Cagliari vs Bologna Serie A game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties), exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The outcome depends solely on the combined score at the end of regular time.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs directly. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts than those of a single entity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes for the Cagliari vs Bologna match. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. The goal is to accurately forecast the final total goals scored in the match, with contract prices moving based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Cagliari vs Bologna match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event for any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Cagliari or Bologna squads would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineups or tactical adjustments, can also cause price fluctuations. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the expected outcome of the match could move this market before Oct 24, 2026.