TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Cagliari and Bologna in Italy's Serie A league. Bettors can speculate on whether Cagliari will win, Bologna will win, or the game will end in a tie based on the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of the match as it concludes in regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Cagliari vs Bologna Serie A match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for either Cagliari or Bologna occurs only if that team secures a win within regular time. If the match ends level after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with Lega Serie A or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Kalshi. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Cagliari vs Bologna match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. The market's price is essentially a real-time aggregate of individual beliefs.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Cagliari vs Bologna match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Cagliari, a win for Bologna, or a draw—actually occurred. All open contracts for the losing outcomes will expire worthless, while contracts for the winning outcome will pay out.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Cagliari or Bologna would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the market. Even weather conditions on match day might influence traders' expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or tactical adjustments could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public sentiment reflected in other sources.