TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cagliari Calcio and Juventus FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio" if Cagliari Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Juventus FC" if Juventus FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Cagliari Calcio and Juventus FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio" if Cagliari Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Juventus FC" if Juventus FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of either Cagliari Calcio or Juventus FC scoring the first goal in the match. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Cagliari Calcio versus Juventus FC match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and shares will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players (especially strikers), or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, general sentiment and public perception, fueled by sports news and analysis, can impact trading volume and price movements. A strong performance by either team in a preceding match could also increase confidence and drive up the price of shares representing their likelihood to score first.