TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cagliari Calcio and Juventus FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio" if Cagliari Calcio are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Juventus FC" if Juventus FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Cagliari Calcio and Juventus FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio" if Cagliari Calcio are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Juventus FC" if Juventus FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Cagliari or Juventus will score first in the first half. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely first goalscorer. The current price reflects the collective judgment of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team, Cagliari or Juventus, scores the first goal during the first half of the match. Any goals scored during stoppage time added to the first half will be included in determining the result. The market will settle based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Cagliari or Juventus would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations about the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts predicting a dominant performance from one team could sway trader sentiment and move the market accordingly. Team lineups released shortly before kickoff will also be a key catalyst.