TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Cagliari Calcio and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio" if Cagliari Calcio are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Cagliari Calcio and Bologna FC 1909, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Cagliari Calcio" if Cagliari Calcio are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Bologna FC 1909" if Bologna FC 1909 are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Cagliari or Bologna will score first in the first half. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a 'Yes' share (Bologna scoring first) or a 'No' share (Cagliari scoring first) indicates the market's current assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. The market effectively aggregates the collective intelligence of its participants to arrive at a price.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team, Cagliari or Bologna, scores the first goal during the first half of the match. The official match records will serve as the basis for verifying the result. The market will then settle based on that verified information, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Cagliari or Bologna would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the perceived likelihood of either team scoring. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a tactical advantage for one team over the other could sway market sentiment and alter the price of shares in this market.