TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Another pair of soccer teams face off in a match where the result is decided by the final score after the full regulation period. The determination hinges on which team achieves a win within the normal duration of the game.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Cadiz vs Leganes professional La Liga 2 soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Cadiz resolves the 'Cadiz' market to Yes; a win for Leganes resolves the 'Leganes' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only regulation time results count, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows traders to express their own views, leading to odds that may diverge from sportsbook offerings as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event like the Cadiz vs Leganes match, as traders incorporate diverse perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Cadiz vs Leganes match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the current price, while significant price swings suggest evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Cadiz vs Leganes match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, including any extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the winning contract for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Cadiz or Leganes could all significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also shift market sentiment. Any significant developments related to team performance or key players are likely to drive trading volume and potentially alter the odds in this market.