TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:07 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Vélez Sarsfield and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Vélez Sarsfield and CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Analyzing these differences can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of certain outcomes in the Vélez Sarsfield vs. San Lorenzo match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's liquidity, currently at $2,213, influences how easily shares can be bought and sold, affecting price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official, final result of the Vélez Sarsfield vs. San Lorenzo match, specifically the exact score at the end of regulation time. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. Traders will be able to view the confirmed result on Polymarket following the conclusion of the match, and payouts will be distributed accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Vélez Sarsfield or San Lorenzo would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also drive price movements. Unexpected announcements related to team management or key personnel could also cause shifts in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for traders in this market.