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CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata?

Volume:
$1,357,665

Union Santa Fe

 - Kalshi

Union Santa Fe - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 7:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Union Santa Fe

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$426,284
N/A
N/A
$175,317
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Unión

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$33,908
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estudiantes La Plata

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$434,122
N/A
N/A
$239,601
Settled
No
polymarket

Estudiantes de La Plata

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241,264
N/A
N/A
$127,319
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Unión vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CA Unión will win their soccer match against Estudiantes de La Plata on October 26, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of CA Unión winning is 100.0%, aggregating views from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics from the governing body (AFA) or event organizers, with fallbacks to Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 26, 2026, to see if this prediction holds true within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same criteria: the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body (AFA) or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, then Sofascore, then consensus reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if CA Unión wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if Estudiantes de La Plata wins within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics aren't available within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Monday, October 26, 2026 between CA Unión and Estudiantes de La Plata.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Union Santa Fe and Estudiantes La Plata, scheduled for October 26, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Union Santa Fe, a win for Estudiantes La Plata, or a tie. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Argentinian soccer match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $1,357,665, with $1,264,743 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how traders are pricing in the probability of different results for the match between CA Unión and Estudiantes de La Plata. The dashboard provides a unified view of the market, combining insights from multiple prediction venues to offer a comprehensive assessment of potential outcomes for this event. It's a way to gauge overall market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are created. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as markets aggregate diverse information and incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. However, liquidity can play a role; lower volume on this market might cause greater discrepancies. It’s also common to see odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.