TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Unión (Union Santa Fe) and CA Boca Juniors scheduled for March 15, 2026. The markets collectively capture all possible outcomes: Unión win, Boca win, or draw, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ on cancellation resolution logic. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if the game is canceled with no make-up, while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi omits cancellation language entirely, leaving the outcome undefined.Hero Tip:
Traders should contact both platforms before match day to confirm cancellation handling. On Polymarket, the draw market acts as a cancellation hedge (YES payout). On Kalshi, request written confirmation of how a canceled game resolves each of its three markets to avoid settlement ambiguity.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Unión win, Draw, Boca win). Draw market uniquely resolves YES on game cancellation with no make-up; win markets resolve NO. Postponement keeps markets open. Scope: 90 minutes + stoppage time only. Source: AFA (Argentina Football Association).Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets (Boca win, Tie, Union Santa Fe win). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes + stoppage time only. Source: Not specified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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