TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:36 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Tucumán and CA Rosario Central, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Tucumán vs. CA Rosario Central match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Tucumán and CA Rosario Central, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Tucumán vs. CA Rosario Central match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially incorporating information and analysis not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, leading to dynamic price adjustments. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can arise due to differing levels of information aggregation, market efficiency, or simply variations in subjective assessments of team strengths and potential game outcomes. It’s common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds as the event approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score, and the price of each share reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price of a share can fluctuate significantly based on trading activity and external factors influencing perceptions of the match’s likely result. The market’s depth and volume contribute to its price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official final score of the Tucumán vs Rosario Central match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The exact score determined at the conclusion of the match will be used to determine which shares payout, and at what value. All trading will cease once the official result is known and verified, and payouts will be distributed accordingly to those holding winning shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Tucumán or Rosario Central would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions.