TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Tigre vs. AA Argentinos Juniors
Volume:
$115,702
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the March 15, 2026 Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Tigre and AA Argentinos Juniors. Markets track whether Tigre wins, Argentinos wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Kalshi resolves all outcomes uniformly to Yes if match is played; Polymarket applies outcome-specific cancellation rules (No for win markets, Yes for draw market).Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk closely. If the match is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw bettors win automatically while win bettors lose, creating a one-sided payout. Kalshi has no such asymmetry. Consider this when sizing positions across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three markets (Tigre win, Argentinos win, Tie) resolve to Yes if the match is played after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; logic implies all outcomes resolve Yes if match occurs.
- Polymarket: Tigre win market: resolves No if canceled with no makeup. Argentinos win market: resolves No if canceled with no makeup. Draw market: resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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