TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Talleres vs. Instituto AC Córdoba
Volume:
$117,656
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Talleres and Instituto AC Córdoba scheduled for March 12, 2026. Three binary markets track the outcome: Talleres win, Instituto win, and draw. The resolution scope is limited to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi handle game cancellation differently. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation and implies one outcome must resolve YES.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled without rescheduling, expect Polymarket draw to pay out but Talleres and Instituto win markets to lose. Kalshi's resolution path is ambiguous. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Talleres win resolves YES if Talleres wins, NO otherwise (including cancellation). Instituto win resolves YES if Instituto wins, NO otherwise (including cancellation). Draw resolves YES if match ends in a draw OR if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game; otherwise NO. All scope to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Source: AFA.com.ar.
- Kalshi: Three mutually exclusive outcome markets covering the same match. Each market resolves YES only if its specific outcome occurs (Instituto win, Tie, or Talleres win) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; logic implies exactly one outcome resolves YES and the others resolve NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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