TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 8:19 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between CA Sarmiento and CA River Plate, scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Sarmiento" if CA Sarmiento are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA River Plate" if CA River Plate are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between CA Sarmiento and CA River Plate, scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Sarmiento" if CA Sarmiento are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA River Plate" if CA River Plate are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information that sportsbooks might overlook, or react more quickly to breaking news. Comparing these odds can give you a broader understanding of the potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether CA Sarmiento or CA River Plate will score first. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. The market's price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on Polymarket, making it a dynamic representation of collective expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the CA Sarmiento vs. CA River Plate match. Official match reports and widely recognized sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CA Sarmiento or CA River Plate would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from respected football commentators could also impact trading activity and the probabilities reflected in this market.