TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between CA San Miguel and Club Ciudad de Bolivar, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA San Miguel vs. Club Ciudad de Bolivar match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between CA San Miguel and Club Ciudad de Bolivar, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA San Miguel vs. Club Ciudad de Bolivar match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a 'vig' or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders willing to put their capital at risk. As a result, the implied probabilities from Polymarket can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines, potentially offering value to informed bettors who identify discrepancies between the two. It’s a comparison of belief versus business.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores in the San Miguel vs. Bolivar match, and the price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of that outcome's probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher its share price will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time probability forecast for the final score.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the San Miguel vs. Bolivar match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing volleyball organization. The platform will then determine which exact score outcome corresponds to the actual result and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the final score. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the match’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to team lineups for either San Miguel or Bolivar would likely cause shifts in the odds. Updates on team form, recent match results, or even weather conditions (if the match is outdoors) could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or significant changes in public perception regarding either team’s chances of winning could also lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.