TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Newell's Old Boys, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Newell's Old Boys match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA San Lorenzo de Almagro and CA Newell's Old Boys, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Newell's Old Boys match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If sportsbooks have a strong initial opinion, you might see divergence, but as the event approaches, the prediction market tends to converge towards a more accurate probability assessment. It's also common to find that this market incorporates information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in team conditions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each exact score outcome. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and trader sentiment, creating a real-time forecast of the match’s final score.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the San Lorenzo vs Newell's Old Boys match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It's important to note that any potential delays in official reporting could slightly postpone the resolution time.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either San Lorenzo or Newell's Old Boys would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant tactical announcements from either team’s manager, or even unexpected lineup changes revealed shortly before kickoff, could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, the probabilities reflected in this market.