TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:45 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Rosario Central and CS Independiente Rivadavia, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Rosario Central" if CA Rosario Central score more goals than CS Independiente Rivadavia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Rosario Central and CS Independiente Rivadavia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Independiente Rivadavia" if CS Independiente Rivadavia score more goals than CA Rosario Central in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Rosario Central and CS Independiente Rivadavia, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Rosario Central" if CA Rosario Central score more goals than CS Independiente Rivadavia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Rosario Central and CS Independiente Rivadavia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CS Independiente Rivadavia" if CS Independiente Rivadavia score more goals than CA Rosario Central in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest share price, is the one the market currently deems most likely. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the second half – whether Rosario Central wins, Independiente Rivadavia wins, or the half ends in a draw – will be used to determine the winning shares. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in tactics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or expert predictions, could impact trading activity. A late surge in betting volume on Polymarket could also indicate new information or a change in perceived probabilities, leading to price movements in this market.