TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CA Progreso vs. Defensor Sporting
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Progreso vs. Defensor Sporting?

Volume:
$18,818

Defensor

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 10:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Defensor

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,656
N/A
N/A
$6,395
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Defensor Sporting

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Progreso

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,684
N/A
N/A
$4,655
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Progreso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,985
N/A
N/A
$2,253
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Progreso vs. Defensor Sporting)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between CA Progreso and Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay Primera Division, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the match ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi define resolution based on the same 90-minute match outcome and handle postponements/cancellations consistently.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (AUF.org.uy). Secondary sources are Flashscore and Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the result of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team or a draw will resolve the corresponding market to 'Yes'.
  • Postponement extends market life until the match is completed.
  • Cancellation with no reschedule resolves 'CA Progreso win' and 'Defensor Sporting win' to 'No' and 'Draw' to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or upon official confirmation of a cancellation.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between CA Progreso and Defensor Sporting.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Progreso vs Defensor professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Progreso wins, Defensor wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of different outcomes in the Uruguayan Primera División market, specifically for the match between CA Progreso and Defensor Sporting. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus probability based on trading volume across both platforms, with a total volume of $18,818. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the most probability lies, and how that belief is shifting over time. The dashboard provides a unified view of the market, combining insights from Polymarket and Kalshi to give a comprehensive assessment of potential results.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information aggregation processes. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, leading to a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect. This can result in more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for trading *after* initial odds are set, allowing participants to react to news and adjust their positions, something not typically available with fixed-odds sportsbooks. The volume of $18,818 in this market indicates active trading and potential price discovery.