TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:34 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for October 17 at 9:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for October 17 at 9:00 AM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or promotional offers, while this market relies purely on traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Keep in mind that these are distinct sources of information, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders deposit funds to buy or sell shares representing different outcomes. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective belief of the participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Uruguayan soccer match between CA Progreso and CA Juventud de Las Piedras. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner or draw, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could drive trading volume and alter the price of shares. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements before Oct 17, 2026.