TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Platense vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield
Volume:
$79,637
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Platense and CA Vélez Sarsfield scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Platense win, Vélez Sarsfield win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on permanent cancellation, while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi omits cancellation logic entirely, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor official AFA (Asociación del Fútbol Argentino) announcements for postponement or cancellation. If the game is permanently canceled, Polymarket draw backers win while win backers lose; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi before game day. Hedging across platforms is risky in cancellation scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Platense win (Yes/No), Velez win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). Postponed games remain open until completion. Canceled games with no make-up: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Evaluation window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Source: AFA official records.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets structured as: If Platense wins, resolve Yes; if Velez wins, resolve Yes; if Tie occurs, resolve Yes. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Evaluation window: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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