TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 9:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between CA Penarol Montevideo and Montevideo Wanderers, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Montevideo Wanderers match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between CA Penarol Montevideo and Montevideo Wanderers, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Montevideo Wanderers match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. It’s common to find that prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, particularly when there’s significant public interest in the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the implied probability of that score occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective beliefs of all participants, offering a unique perspective on the potential result of the Penarol vs Wanderers match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the CA Penarol Montevideo vs. Montevideo Wanderers match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all traders in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in prior matches for either team, or even broader trends in soccer performance, might also play a role. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on new information and perceived probabilities.