TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 12:27 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between CA Penarol Montevideo and CA Progreso, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Penarol Montevideo" if CA Penarol Montevideo score more goals than CA Progreso in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Penarol Montevideo and CA Progreso score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Progreso" if CA Progreso score more goals than CA Penarol Montevideo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between CA Penarol Montevideo and CA Progreso, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Penarol Montevideo" if CA Penarol Montevideo score more goals than CA Progreso in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if CA Penarol Montevideo and CA Progreso score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Progreso" if CA Progreso score more goals than CA Penarol Montevideo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what traders, as a group, believe is the most probable result of the Penarol vs Progreso second half.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the second half of the CA Penarol Montevideo vs. CA Progreso match. The platform will then verify the outcome against trusted sources to finalize the settlement of the market. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final share price.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, or even tactical adjustments made by either team during the match, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could also cause noticeable price movements as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived advantages.