TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC
Volume:
$445,931
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between CA Paranaense and Santos FC scheduled for February 12, 2026. Markets across platforms assess the three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Paranaense win, a Santos win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi does not specify cancellation outcomes, while Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes upon cancellation (no makeup), whereas win markets resolve No.Hero Tip:
Monitor CBF official channels for cancellation or postponement notices. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw resolves Yes while win markets resolve No. If postponed, all markets remain open. Kalshi's silence on cancellation creates ambiguity—clarify with Kalshi support before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Santos win (Yes/No), Paranaense win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves draw to Yes and win markets to No. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve to No' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Three markets, each resolving to Yes if its specified outcome occurs (Paranaense win, Santos win, or Tie). All evaluate 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit guidance on postponement or cancellation. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Paranaense vs Santos professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.