TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama
polymarket
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama?

Total volume:
$3,662
Volume 24h:
$544
743%
Liquidity:
$22,953
114%
Open interest:
$2,543
11%

Paranaense

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 5, 2026

Time left: 02d:03h:55m

Paranaense wins

46%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 46¢ buys you 217 shares | Odds: 46% Total Payout: $217 | Net Profit: $117 Multiplier: 2.17x | ROI: 117% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Paranaense

Trade
46%
2%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
1¢
N/A
$499
24%
N/A
$418
2d 3h 55m
Active
polymarket

CA Paranaense

Trade
46%
2%
Yes 47¢No 55¢
2¢
$7,549
$391
165%
N/A
N/A
2d 55m
Active
limitless

Atletico Paranaense

Trade
N/A
N/A
9.2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
46%
Yes 46.5¢No 55¢
Avg: 4.1¢Max: 9.2¢
kalshi

Vasco da Gama

Trade
29%
1%
Yes 28.5¢No 73¢
1.5¢
N/A
$2,283
8%
N/A
$2,125
2d 3h 55m
Active
polymarket

CR Vasco da Gama

Trade
28%
Yes 28¢No 73¢
1¢
$7,735
$466
9%
N/A
N/A
2d 55m
Active
limitless

Vasco DA Gama

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
28.7%
Yes 28.2¢No 73¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

Draw (CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama)

Trade
27%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
$7,669
$21
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 55m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 3h 55m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
7.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 55m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
26.5%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 7.9¢
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between CA Paranaense and CR Vasco da Gama scheduled for November 4, 2026. Markets ask whether Paranaense, Vasco da Gama, or a draw will occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic for canceled or abandoned matches. Polymarket resolves to 'No' if canceled with no makeup game, while Limitless resolves to 'Yes' (Draw) in the same scenario.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of a rescheduled game when trading. Limitless markets offer exposure to a draw outcome even if the original match is canceled and not rescheduled.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. The primary resolution source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus reporting.
  • Limitless: If the match is canceled or abandoned and an official result is recognized, the market resolves based on that result. If no official result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, the market resolves to 'YES' (Draw).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 between CA Paranaense and CR Vasco da Gama.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for November 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Paranaense wins, the 'Paranaense' market resolves to Yes. If Vasco da Gama wins, the 'Vasco da Gama' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers regular time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 4, 2026, 22:30 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Paranaense vs. Vasco da Gama match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $3,662, with $551 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the event’s potential results, combining insights from different prediction market participants. Polymarket currently favors Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04? at 46.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Paranaense wins at 46.0%. This dashboard provides a centralized location to monitor these probabilities and trading activity.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balanced betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate predictions through financial rewards. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. The volume of $3,662 traded on this market suggests a degree of interest and potential for price discovery, which may or may not align with sportsbook offerings.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to distinct trading behaviors. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $3,662 overall – can influence price discovery. Different fee structures and market-making strategies employed by each platform also contribute to price variations. Finally, differing interpretations of available information regarding the Paranaense vs. Vasco da Gama match can lead to divergent probabilities being expressed by traders on each venue.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Paranaense vs. Vasco da Gama match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders are encouraged to monitor official sources for the final result, as this will be the basis for settlement. The current volume of $3,662 indicates active trading as participants refine their predictions ahead of the resolution date. This market provides a unique opportunity to express and aggregate beliefs about the match's conclusion.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or tactical adjustments announced by either CA Paranaense or CR Vasco da Gama would likely influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, broader sporting news, such as upsets in related competitions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment regarding team performance, could move the market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding price fluctuations in this market.