Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the core resolution logic: the match outcome is determined by the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, sourced from official CBF/Copa do Brasil statistics, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) match statistics and Copa do Brasil organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome is determined by the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
CA Paranaense win resolves Yes on Paranaense win markets, No otherwise.
AC Goianiense win resolves Yes on Goianiense win markets, No otherwise.
Draw resolves Yes on draw markets, No otherwise.
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and resolved according to the final result.
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, draw market resolves Yes and win markets resolve No.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed; resolution then follows the final match outcome.
Cancellation without makeup: Polymarket draw market resolves Yes; Polymarket win markets resolve No. Kalshi markets resolve based on the outcome if played, or remain unresolved if canceled.
Official statistics delay: If CBF does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus from reputable sports media may be used as fallback.
Scope of play: Resolution covers only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on April 23, 2026, with official CBF statistics expected within 2 hours of final whistle. Markets remain open if postponed until the match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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