Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 12, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official sources are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if CA Osasuna wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves YES if Real Betis Balompié wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly one of the three outcomes will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves YES and the win markets resolve NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed beyond April 12, 2026, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the draw market resolves YES and both win markets resolve NO.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official La Liga statistics. If official sources do not publish within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used as fallback.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by La Liga or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official sources are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.