Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 21, 2026, using La Liga official statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics and governing body records
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Osasuna win, Girona win, or draw.
Exactly one outcome will occur and resolve the corresponding markets across both platforms.
If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi's markets resolve based on the actual outcome (or remain unresolved if truly canceled).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match scheduled for March 21, 2026 is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open until the match is completed and a final result is determined.
Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket resolves the draw market to YES and both win markets to NO. Kalshi's resolution in this scenario is not explicitly specified but would follow the same cancellation protocol.
Resolution Source Fallback: If La Liga official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, both platforms may use consensus from credible reporting sources as an alternative resolution basis.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 21, 2026, with official La Liga statistics as the primary source. If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, resolution may occur upon consensus of credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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