TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Lanús, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Lanús match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Newell's Old Boys and CA Lanús, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Lanús match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular exact score. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities to see where the discrepancies lie and potentially identify value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates all available information and provides a real-time estimate of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Newell's Old Boys vs. Lanús match, as officially recorded by the governing soccer authorities, will determine the winning shares. The resolution process focuses on ensuring an accurate and transparent determination of the result based on publicly available data, providing clarity for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Newell's Old Boys or Lanús would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the availability of star players, or even pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators, could all contribute to volatility in this market until it resolves.