TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether CA Mineiro will win their soccer match against Montevideo City Torque on October 14, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of CA Mineiro winning is 100.0%, with Montevideo City Torque at 0.1%. These probabilities are aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket, and the market will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (CONMEBOL). Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 14, 2026, to see if the consensus holds as the game unfolds.
This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between CA Mineiro and Montevideo City Torque.
The event resolves based on the result of the Atletico Mineiro vs Montevideo City professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match originally scheduled for October 14, 2026, strictly after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and excluding extra time or penalties. If Atletico Mineiro wins in regulation time, the 'Atletico Mineiro' market resolves to Yes. If Montevideo City wins in regulation time, the 'Montevideo City' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can influence price formation. Different risk appetites among traders on each platform also contribute to discrepancies. Furthermore, the specific market structures – for example, the types of contracts offered or the settlement mechanisms – can lead to varying prices. Volume differences between Polymarket and Kalshi also play a role; a market with higher volume generally has more accurate pricing due to increased participation.