TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 5:17 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Lanús and CA Vélez Sarsfield, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Lanús vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Lanús and CA Vélez Sarsfield, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Lanús vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield match—the exact score—will be used to determine which shares pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a reputable sports news source. Traders should monitor official announcements to stay informed about the resolution process and ensure a smooth settlement of their positions.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or key player availability would likely cause immediate price adjustments. Additionally, public opinion and expert analysis, as reflected in sports news and commentary, can also impact trading activity and, consequently, the odds for different exact scores in this market.