TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Lanús and CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Lanús and CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular exact score is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of team strengths and potential game scenarios. It's common to see this market offer insights beyond those readily available from conventional betting outlets.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific result, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome, as profitable trades depend on correct predictions. This dynamic pricing creates a constantly updated forecast of the match’s final score.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza match will be used to determine the winning share(s). Any delays in the official reporting of the score may impact the resolution timeline, but the market will settle as soon as a definitive result is available. Traders should monitor official sources for updates on the match and its final score to understand when this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either CA Lanús or CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could lead to adjustments in the probabilities assigned to different exact scores. Unexpected pre-match analysis or expert opinions could also sway the market.