TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$260,393,102

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,894,304,386

408,643

Markets across

39,771

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,493

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?

Volume:
$829,583

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 8:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$231,633
N/A
N/A
$144,998
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CA Lanús vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza)

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,994
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mendoza

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$260,679
N/A
N/A
$146,883
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lanus

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229,330
N/A
N/A
$102,850
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Lanús

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between CA Lanús and CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza in the Argentine Primera División, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Markets exist for Lanús winning, Gimnasia winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision, potentially leaving markets open or resolving based on other factors.Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may not resolve in a straightforward manner. Polymarket offers more clarity in this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (AFA, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of game cancellations is provided. Relies on the game occurring as scheduled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Sunday, November 1, 2026 between CA Lanús and CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Lanus vs Mendoza professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Lanus, Mendoza, or Tie markets occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends in a tie within regular time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following platform guidelines. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Lanús vs. Gimnasia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $829,583, with $786,875 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. Polymarket currently favors a win for one team, while Kalshi suggests a different possibility, creating an interesting dynamic for traders. The dashboard visualizes these probabilities and volume data, offering a comprehensive overview of the market.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profitability, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of a diverse group of forecasters. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when incorporating new information quickly. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs and allow participants to hedge their positions, influencing price discovery. The volume of $829,583 indicates significant interest in this market, potentially reflecting a divergence from sportsbook expectations.