TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo?

Volume:
$195,189

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 8:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,149
N/A
N/A
$20,587
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CA Juventud de Las Piedras vs. CA Penarol Montevideo)

100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penarol

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$114,083
N/A
N/A
$74,051
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Penarol Montevideo

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Piedras

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,483
N/A
N/A
$26,522
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Juventud de Las Piedras

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between CA Juventud de Las Piedras and CA Penarol Montevideo, scheduled for October 24, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning, or the match ending in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi define resolution based on the same criteria: the outcome of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with similar fallback procedures for data availability and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (AUF.org.uy). Secondary sources are Flashscore and Sofascore.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve 'No', and draw markets resolve 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the event’s conclusion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between CA Juventud de Las Piedras and CA Penarol Montevideo.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Las Piedras vs Penarol match scheduled for October 24, 2026, considering only the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these conditions.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders directly betting on the outcome. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets may more quickly incorporate new information or reflect the collective intelligence of a diverse group of bettors. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes emerge when discrepancies arise between this market and sportsbooks.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading fees, and liquidity levels, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, each platform may attract traders with different expertise or information advantages. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient pricing. Finally, differing interpretations of available information or news related to the Uruguayan soccer match can contribute to price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi.