This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the March 10, 2026 Argentina Primera División match between CA Independiente (Avellaneda) and CA Unión (Santa Fe). Markets predict the final outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: whether Independiente wins, Unión wins, or the match ends in a draw.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: outcome determined by final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official AFA (Asociación del Fútbol Argentino) match records and statistics
Core resolution logic:
Resolution window: 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time, no penalties)
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: CA Independiente win, CA Unión win, or draw
Postponed matches: markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
Cancelled matches with no rescheduling: draw markets resolve Yes, win markets resolve No
Match date: March 10, 2026
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and final score is official.
Cancellation without rescheduling: If the match is cancelled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, draw markets resolve to Yes and win markets (Independiente or Unión) resolve to No.
Extra time or penalties: Resolution is based only on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes and official final score is confirmed by AFA, or upon official cancellation announcement if no rescheduling occurs.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.