TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CA Huracán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Huracán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata?

Volume:
$2,474,178

Gimnasia La Plata

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 9:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gimnasia La Plata

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$702,641
N/A
N/A
$274,044
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$58,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Huracan

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$988,838
N/A
N/A
$474,462
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Huracán

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184,371
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$520,651
N/A
N/A
$167,638
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Huracán vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata)

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata will win their soccer match against CA Huracán on October 15, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of this outcome across Kalshi and Polymarket is 100.0%, while the probability of a draw is 0.1%. Resolution will be based on official statistics from afa.com.ar. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 15, 2026, to see if Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata secures a win within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same event outcome (win, loss, or draw within 90 minutes + stoppage time) and utilize a consistent hierarchy of data sources for settlement.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (afa.com.ar).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve 'No' and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between CA Huracán and Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Huracan vs Gimnasia La Plata professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match scheduled for October 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Huracan win, Gimnasia La Plata win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a clear victory for either team within regular time (including stoppage time), the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the teams finish level after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. Extra time and penalty shootout results are explicitly excluded from consideration for market resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes exist between the two. The current volume on this market suggests significant interest from informed traders.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and liquidity, all of which influence price discovery. Additionally, each platform may have varying fees and trading constraints. The differing opinions and risk appetites of traders on each platform also contribute to price divergence. While both markets address the same event—the Huracán vs. Gimnasia match—these factors can lead to temporary or sustained differences in the implied probabilities reflected in the prices.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either CA Huracán or Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant pre-match commentary from sports analysts, could also shift market sentiment. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths or chances of winning will likely cause movement in this market.