TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Huracán and CA River Plate scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each possible match outcome (Huracán win, draw, River Plate win) evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi differ on cancellation resolution. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled; its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, leaving resolution ambiguous.Hero Tip:
Verify cancellation handling with both platforms before match day. Polymarket's asymmetric logic (draw YES vs. win NO on cancellation) may create arbitrage; Kalshi's silence could mean indefinite open status or discretionary resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Huracán win, draw, River Plate win). All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves draw market to YES and win markets to NO. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).Kalshi:
Three outcome-specific markets (Tie, Huracán, River Plate). Each resolves YES only if that specific outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Silence on cancellation scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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