TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between CA Guemes and CA Colegiales, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Guemes vs. CA Colegiales match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera Nacional game between CA Guemes and CA Colegiales, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Guemes vs. CA Colegiales match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk appetites between the two types of bettors. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the CA Guemes vs. CA Colegiales match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially impacting the style of play and final score. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price movements. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to shifts in market probabilities.