TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Grau vs. CS Cristal
Volume:
$95,711
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Wednesday, April 22, 2026 between CA Grau and CS Cristal.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for all three possible outcomes (Sporting Cristal win, tie, or Atletico Grau win), making it logically impossible to resolve to NO. This is a fundamental logical contradiction that renders the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical error in its resolution rules — all three mutually exclusive outcomes trigger a YES resolution, which violates basic market design. Polymarket markets are coherent and tradeable; Kalshi's market is broken and should be flagged for cancellation or correction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering mutually exclusive outcomes: (1) Draw resolves YES only if match ends in a draw; (2) CS Cristal win resolves YES only if CS Cristal wins; (3) CA Grau win resolves YES only if CA Grau wins. Exactly one market resolves YES. Resolution source is official Liga 1.pe statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Sporting Cristal wins... then YES', 'If Tie wins... then YES', 'If Atletico Grau wins... then YES'. All three mutually exclusive outcomes are specified to resolve to YES, leaving no logical path to NO resolution. This violates the binary YES/NO structure of a prediction market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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