TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:46 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for November 1 at 3:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for November 1 at 3:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, whereas this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Polymarket. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating growing confidence, while selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the CA Grau versus Club Universitario de Deportes match in the Peruvian Primera División. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either CA Grau or Club Universitario de Deportes could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches within the league could influence perceptions of team strength and overall form, leading to adjustments in the price of this market on Polymarket.