TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 9:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CA Newell's Old Boys, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CA Newell's Old Boys, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. As more shares are traded for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final result. Volume and open interest also play a role, indicating the level of conviction and liquidity behind each prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Argentinian soccer match between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CA Newell's Old Boys will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will settle.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza or CA Newell's Old Boys would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily influence the game, could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team formations, managerial decisions, or even rumors of internal team issues could move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards, will also impact the probabilities.