TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys?

Volume:
$807,063

Mendoza

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 7:26 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mendoza

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$303,077
N/A
N/A
$140,194
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,527
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Newell's Old Boys

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225,589
N/A
N/A
$156,354
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Newell's Old Boys

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220,030
N/A
N/A
$132,874
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Newell's Old Boys)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza will win their soccer match against CA Newell's Old Boys in the Argentina Primera Division on October 12, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome is 100.0%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The official resolution source for this market is the Argentine Football Association website (https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbol). Keep an eye on the official schedule leading up to October 12, 2026, as any changes to the match date or potential cancellation will be key to resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not mention cancellation, implying the market remains open or relies on alternative resolution.Hero tip: If you believe the game is likely to be canceled, consider favoring the 'No' outcome on Polymarket. On Kalshi, the cancellation risk is less directly priced in.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official stats are unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the game being played to completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CA Newell's Old Boys.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Mendoza vs Newell's Old Boys professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Mendoza wins the match within regular time, the 'Mendoza' market resolves to Yes. If Newell's Old Boys wins the match within regular time, the 'Newell's Old Boys' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates trading activity for the Argentinian soccer match between CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and CA Newell's Old Boys. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $807,063, with $750,988 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of prediction probabilities, though differing market dynamics on each platform can create price discrepancies. The dashboard provides a centralized location to monitor how traders are assessing the likelihood of various outcomes in this match, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional betting markets.

Prediction market odds, such as those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and information aggregation processes involved. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction market prices being more efficient and reflecting a broader range of information. However, liquidity differences can also play a role – lower volume in this market compared to major sportsbooks might lead to greater price volatility. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive view of expectations for the Argentinian soccer match.