TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
CA Defensores de Belgrano vs. CA San Miguel
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Defensores de Belgrano vs. CA San Miguel?

Volume:
$102,780

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 4:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,477
N/A
N/A
$17,607
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (CA Defensores de Belgrano vs. CA San Miguel)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,864
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Defensores

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,062
N/A
N/A
$27,814
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Defensores de Belgrano

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

San Miguel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,301
N/A
N/A
$20,136
Settled
No
polymarket

CA San Miguel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,896
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between CA Defensores de Belgrano and CA San Miguel in the Argentine Nacional B league, scheduled for October 26, 2026. Markets exist for Defensores winning, San Miguel winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this specification, potentially leaving markets open or resolving based on other criteria.Hero tip: Consider the risk of game cancellation when trading on Kalshi, as the market may not resolve as expected if the game does not occur. Polymarket offers more clarity on this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official stats, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official stats are unavailable within 2 hours. Resolves within 24 hours or 50/50.
  • Kalshi: Determines a winner or draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations or postponements is stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Monday, October 26, 2026 between CA Defensores de Belgrano and CA San Miguel.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Defensores vs San Miguel professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result within this timeframe. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these exceptional conditions.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome of the Argentinian football match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in opinion. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing odds across both types of venues.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights into Argentinian football, leading to different price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform—currently $102,780 across both—can influence price volatility and create temporary discrepancies. These differences represent opportunities for traders to potentially profit from arbitrage.