TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the outcome of a soccer match between CA Colegiales and CSD Tristan Suarez, scheduled for October 10, 2026. Markets exist on which team will win, or if the match will end in a draw, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Primera Nacional game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between CA Colegiales and CSD Tristan Suarez.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez professional Argentine Nacional B soccer match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the Colegiales market if Colegiales wins, for the Tristan Suarez market if Tristan Suarez wins, and for the Tie market if the game ends level. The markets exclusively consider regular time results and exclude extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's procedures. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective judgment of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. The volume of $75,070 suggests active trading and a degree of confidence in the market's price discovery process. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities to those offered by sportsbooks to identify potential value.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differences in user base, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to varying perspectives on the Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez match. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery. While Polymarket currently favors a draw at 36.5%, Kalshi leans toward a different outcome. These discrepancies create arbitrage opportunities for traders who can exploit price differences across platforms.