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419,492

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4,654

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CA Boca Juniors vs. CR Vasco da Gama
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of CA Boca Juniors vs CR Vasco da Gama?

Volume:
$1,927,629

Reg Time: Vasco da Gama

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 10:28 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Vasco da Gama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$319,459
N/A
N/A
$173,043
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CR Vasco da Gama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$126,048
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Boca Juniors

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$847,895
N/A
N/A
$486,965
Settled
No
polymarket

CA Boca Juniors

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$341,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$276,045
N/A
N/A
$179,153
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (CA Boca Juniors vs. CR Vasco da Gama)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether CR Vasco da Gama will win their CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match against CA Boca Juniors on October 13, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of CR Vasco da Gama winning is 100.0%, with CA Boca Juniors at 0.1%. This consensus view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official CONMEBOL statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 13, 2026, as the final result will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets consistently define resolution based on the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and share the same cancellation/postponement logic.Primary resolution logic: Official CONMEBOL statistics (https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/) with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official final result as recognized by CONMEBOL.
  • If the official result is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Revisions to the official score after market resolution will not be considered.
  • If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely without a reschedule, the 'Boca Juniors win' and 'Vasco da Gama win' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 13, 2026 between CA Boca Juniors and CR Vasco da Gama.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Boca Juniors vs Vasco da Gama professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Boca Juniors, a win for Vasco da Gama, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to one of these three possible results, resolving to 'Yes' if that specific outcome occurs, and 'No' otherwise. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to balance their book, while prediction markets rely on the wisdom of the crowd. This market’s odds reflect the collective beliefs of traders, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs and allow for more nuanced betting strategies, which can lead to different price points. The volume of $1,927,629 suggests significant interest in this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Boca Juniors vs. Vasco da Gama match may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees and market-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Additionally, the liquidity, or volume, on each platform – currently $1,927,629 overall – can influence price stability and responsiveness to new information. These differences in market dynamics mean that while both platforms address the same question, their pricing mechanisms and participant pools lead to distinct probabilities.