TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
CA Belgrano vs. CA Talleres
Volume:
$81,911
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between CA Belgrano and CA Talleres scheduled for March 15, 2026. The markets collectively capture all possible outcomes: Belgrano win, draw, or Talleres win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled; win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's cancellation protocol is unspecified, creating settlement ambiguity if the match does not occur.Hero Tip:
Confirm Kalshi's cancellation resolution rules before trading. If the game is canceled, Polymarket's draw market is guaranteed YES; Belgrano and Talleres win markets are guaranteed NO. Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Use this asymmetry to hedge cancellation risk.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all outcomes. Belgrano Win and Talleres Win resolve NO if canceled. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if canceled with no make-up game. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (Belgrano Win, Draw, Talleres Win) that each resolve YES if their condition occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation protocol is not specified in provided descriptions, leaving ambiguity on how a canceled or indefinitely postponed match would settle.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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