TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:37 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Belgrano and CA River Plate, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Belgrano and CA River Plate, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Belgrano vs. CA River Plate match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 7:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds to maximize profit, factoring in a house edge, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of each exact score occurring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, potentially offering more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score. The price of each share reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular exact score is likely, they will buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Belgrano vs. River Plate match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine which shares payout. The platform will verify the result against official match data to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It's important to monitor the event for any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could significantly influence the price action in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Belgrano or River Plate would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements regarding referee assignments or stadium conditions could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading.