TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Belgrano and CA Barracas Central, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Belgrano vs. CA Barracas Central match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CA Belgrano and CA Barracas Central, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Belgrano vs. CA Barracas Central match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Often, prediction markets can provide more accurate forecasts, particularly when information is dispersed and not fully captured by traditional models. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even subjective factors influencing the game's outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely result. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions represented among the traders.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final exact score of the Belgrano vs Barracas Central match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league and widely reported by sports news outlets. Any potential disputes regarding the official score will be addressed based on the consensus of these reliable sources, ensuring a fair and accurate determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Belgrano or Barracas Central would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also influence predictions. Additionally, any significant tactical announcements from either team's manager, or unexpected changes in team form leading up to the match, could prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust the market prices accordingly.